Enterprise Technology By Phil Edholm

Ferrari versus Corvette - Which would you Choose?

Doug Gourlay of Cisco recently responded to my post on "Merchant "silicon by putting a post on the Cisco site on his blog. Thanks to Brad Reese for pointing out the reply on his blog on the NetworkWorld site. While Brad felt Doug's response was a "stinging rebuke", I believe that most will agree with me that it was a lame and poorly thought through analogy. While I replied on Brad's site, I thought it would be appropriate to respond here as well........as Doug was really responding to my assertion that using proprietary silicon for packet processing is antiquated and the future is building value while leveraging the power of "merchant" silicon.

In Doug's post he attempts to use an analogy to justify using proprietary silicon in Cisco products:

"Maybe an analogy will help. If a switch is like a car then the switching silicon would be most analogous to the engine and/or transmission. i.e. the core of the car and a major point of competitive advantage and differentiation. Do major automobile manufacturers outsource engine design and development to other firms? Of course not, they design and build their engines. Do manufacturers of more consumer goods like lawn mowers outsource their engines? Absolutely, they go to specialized engine manufacturers because the core value of what they offer is either a certain price point, or the value is not tied to the engine.

So the question then - is do you want to ride to work or school in a car, or on a lawnmower? I know one would get me laughed at if I was in school, the other... not so much :)

Applying it back to switching, I'd rather control my own destiny and align the core value creation in the silicon with the hardware and then with the software and continue to drive innovation at every tier and not saddle up on my Toro in my enterprise. (no offense to the manufacturer of lawn mowers, I am a good customer of yours too :)"

If it were only so simple to make decisions in life, but the Ferrari comes with Ferrari pricing and maintenance costs. And it sure does a lousy job of cutting the grass!!

I guess I hit a nerve with my comments in my blog. While I agree with Doug that Cisco pricing is Ferrari like, the performance numbers of their products generally do not bear out a value proposition that justifies the product pricing. Witness the Tolly tests that indicate that most times the Nortel products are faster and Gartner identifying Nortel as a "Visionary" in networking in the 2007 Magic Quadrant Analysis. In fact, Cisco products typically cost 2 times other “merchant” offers in the Ethernet space, a fact borne out by recent Del ‘Oro data that shows while Cisco delivers only 37% of Ethernet ports, it receives 73% of the Ethernet market revenue. Over time you can only demand Ferrari pricing if you are delivering profound performance advantage...something not delivered in Cisco networking products.

Like Doug, I like analogies to illustrate a point, but I believe they should be at least vaguely believable. The analogy Doug has chosen is flawed and almost laughably absurd. Who would ever consider a buying decision that was a choice between a Ferrari and a lawnmower? However, if Doug wants to use an automotive analogy, let’s use one that is closer to reality; the choice between a Ferrari F430 and a Chevrolet Corvette (we will use the standard model Corvette in keeping with Doug’s analogy of “merchant” engines, not the higher performance Z06). Both are very similar, (kind of like Ethernet switches), each being a 2 seat car with a V8 engine and designed for performance over people or luggage hauling. And they follow Doug’s analogy, in that the Corvette is based on a broad range of “merchant” parts from the General Motors inventory, while the Ferrari is highly optimized with virtually every part factory built in Modena.

In fact, Road and Track just compared these two in their January 2008 issue, so we can use some real facts in this analogy for a change. While the review decides for general use it is a toss-up between the two (in the review, two editors out of four choose each of these cars as their favorite), the F430 does have a 12% advantage in acceleration, a 2.8% better slalom time and a 1% better skid pad grip level. So, if we grant the F430 a 5% overall performance improvement at the limits of use (none of which can be achieved on public roads or in normal networks), the F430 must be a better buying decision, right? However, the F430 costs about 4x the Corvette (slightly higher pricing differentials to those in networking). And the Ferrari gets 25% less fuel economy (again similar to the networking world), in a world where fuel economy is critical. And the costs to maintain Ferraris are legendary ($3,000 tune-ups and $8,000 clutches every 10K miles). So then, the choice is simple; 95% percent of the performance for 25% of the price and operating costs that are 25-50% less. Does the Ferrari look good now? By the way, the Corvette Z06 gets 98% plus of the Ferrari performance for one third the price and the new Z01 will be faster for less than half the price. I guess Doug would call these cars derivative due to their “merchant” roots in GM and the base Corvette.

In the end, people who buy a Ferrari do it for two reasons; they have so much money that the cost/performance trade-offs do not matter to them or they buy their cars so others will judge them by what they drive. I guess buying Cisco is similar, either you like to waste money or you buy on brand only. Comparison shopping yields different answers, as reflected by Gartner in their recent advisory to evaluate alternatives in the networking world.

I do not drive a Ferrari, do you?

Comments

  1. No Mr. Edholm I do not drive a Ferrari.

    Your analogy is quite good, but do you not understand that people–including customers–like to be associated with classy products. Even when the product is not truly as good as less expensive ones.

    I remember when Nortel and Bay Networks merged. I read quite a few objective reviews on the BayStack routers and switches. Virtually every one of those reviews praised the BayStack products. They were described as being “much” easier to configure, use, and maintain than anything on the market. And much cheaper!

    However, not even Nortel used many of them internally. Nortel management bought Cisco routers for routine network applications in-house. Why? I don’t have a clue, but this disconnect between “talk” and “walk” continues to this minute. If Nortel doesn’t even believe in their own products enough to prefer them over their competiors, why would the customers.

  2. nice comeback Phil…on the subject of cars and Nortel mgmnt, it is unfortunate that so many there receive above industry-average wages…nothing can upset shareholders more except of course Mike Z’s recent pay increase and that of Joel, etc., etc.

  3. Phil, I remember and old adage from the 1970’s when IBM was king of the hill. “Nobody was ever fired for not taking a risk” this morphed into “no one was ever fired for buying IBM”. Today cisco carries that same 500lb gorilla advantage.

    That saying reflected the conservatism of that time. I think CIOs are in that same mindset now, despite what they say, no one is really that interested strategy unless it is somehow free. The question (I think) is not Ferrari vs. Corvette but more akin to the Japanese and Koreans breaking into the North American pickup truck market. In this environment it is sales and marketing’s job to convince customers that nortel represents the conservative protection (we are not going to get you, the customer, fired) and a measurably better value.

  4. I agree with the IBM “no one got fired analogy”. In fact, I posted a virtually identical response on the Network World Cisco blog and got that as a comment as well. I think we need to make Nortel an equally compelling buying decision in the exec suite, ICA was a step as well as a relationship with IBM to drive that.
    I do not know about Cisco gear, we changed out all the Cisco gear right after the Bay merger as I remember, though I did not do it personally. As I remember, there was a chart in late 99 or 2000 that was presented by our IT folks that had the banner “Cisco Free Networking”. I will go see if I can find the chart in my archives.
    I would not normally comment/defend Exec pay, except I believe we are much better off with Mike driving transformation and the level of pay reflects his seniority as an executive and the challenge we face. Changing CEOs now would create even more confusion, both inside Nortel and in our customers. Based on the stock price, I assume his income will drop in 2008 as a significant part comes from options and grants. I also see real fire in guys like Mike and Joel in working incredibly hard personally to drive the transformation, I know from personal interaction they are not hanging around hoping for the best.
    As a personal comment, I have lost well into 6 figures of real personal money (not options) in Nortel stock, so I suffer along with our shareholders in this regard. Fortunately, it was all in US dollars, not Canadian, which are now worth more (sic).
    The above comments are not intend to be a defense, we need to deliver results in both the market and to our shareholders, but rather some commentary on the situation.

  5. Phil - working hard is not the same thing as working effectively. I could work myself to death at GE and I would still not be able to add personal value to growing the light bulb business. Nor would I have the background required to attract and select the right people to build a better light bulb. I’ll leave it at that because the people who read this blog get my point.

  6. Typical Nortel thinking. I guess you are the Corvette. Well there is no comparison as Corvettes are not in Ferrari’s league. Second, association with a Ferrari is very different from association with a Corvette. Ferrari is also at the top in racing investing billions. Only the rich and powerful associate with Ferrari. They would not be caught in a Corvette.

    Going by your analogy forget all the big carriers and enterprise. Maybe you should focus on Tier-3 carrier and the small and medium business. They certainly would buy Corvettes. That’s all they can afford.

    If performance and quality was king, how come Cisco has 73% share. Another analogy would be to see where GM is headed. Forget Ferrari’s since its a different league. like GM your business is in jeopardy if not from the Toyotas and Nissans but from the Hyundais, Kias and Daewoos of this world.

    Case rested and closed!

  7. Phil

    btw you are getting toasted and deep fried on the NW blog. Internal Nortel comments don’t show you are in touch with reality. I’d suggest you stop blogging without proper information because it makes Nortel look even worse.

    http://www.networkworld.com/community/node/25828#comment-178551

  8. is Nortel going bankrupt? if NT products are so much faster, shouldn’t CSCO, ERIC or JNPR just buy them out? What is going on with the management of shareholder value?

  9. Alas, the analogy has extended too far. The pint that was started by a Cisco employee was comparing a Ferrari to a lawnmower, the Corvette analogy was a rebuttal. I agree that Ferrari is in the stratosphere, but why would everyone by it. How many of you responding have bought it for the name only. That is why, as many of you have said here, you buy Cisco. I do not see getting deep fried or toasted by anonymous comments that do not have any real truth/value and just rant.
    Am in not in touch with reality? I guess both Gartner and Tolly are not either as both have recommended Nortel as compared with Cisco recently.

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